2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election

Election: 11/3/2026
United States Senate • Florida
Updated: 4/29/2026

Florida’s 2026 special U.S. Senate election will fill the remainder of Marco Rubio’s term, with a general election on November 3, 2026 and primaries on August 18, 2026. Gov. Ron DeSantis appointed Republican Ashley Moody to the seat after Rubio left for the Trump administration, and the winner will serve the final two years of the term Rubio won in 2022. The race is a partisan test in a state that has trended more Republican in recent cycles, with Democrats trying to make the contest competitive despite the GOP’s statewide advantage. The main contrast is between Moody’s statewide record and fundraising strength and Democrats’ effort to find a nominee with enough name recognition and crossover appeal to challenge her.

Latest Poll

Emerson College · Mar 31

Moody
46%
Vindman
38%
4 polls total — view all ↓

Candidates

Ashley Moody

Ashley Moody

R Incumbent

Ashley Moody is the appointed Republican U.S. senator from Florida and a former Florida attorney general and state judge. She is running in the 2026 special election to serve the remainder of Marco Rubio’s term.

Alexander Vindman is a retired U.S. Army lieutenant colonel and former National Security Council official running as a Democrat in Florida’s 2026 special U.S. Senate election. His campaign centers on affordability, anti-corruption messaging, and his background as a national security whistleblower during President Donald Trump’s first impeachment.

Polling

Emerson College Mar 31, 2026
n=1,165
Ashley Moody
46%
Alexander Vindman
38%
Source
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab Mar 2, 2026
n=786
Ashley Moody
45%
Alexander Vindman
38%
Source
University of North Florida Mar 2, 2026
n=786
Ashley Moody
46%
Jennifer Jenkins
38%
Ashley Moody
45%
Alex Vindman
38%
Source
University of North Florida Mar 2, 2026
n=786
Ashley Moody
45%
Alex Vindman
38%
Source

Data Analysis Information

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated 4/29/2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

Models: GPT-5 MiniGPT-5 NanoClaude Haiku 4.5Gemini 3.1 Flash LiteGrok 4.1 Fast

© 2026 Smarter.vote. Analyzing public information to help voters make informed decisions.

Always verify information by visiting candidate websites directly. This tool provides analysis for informational purposes only.