2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas

Election: 11/3/2026
United States Senate • Texas
Updated: 4/29/2026

Texas’s 2026 U.S. Senate election will decide whether Republicans keep a long-held Senate seat in a state that remains central to the chamber’s balance of power. The race has featured incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, Attorney General Ken Paxton, and state Rep. James Talarico, with the Republican primary and general election shaped by party unity, Donald Trump’s influence, and each party’s effort to define the state’s political direction. Cornyn and Paxton represent competing GOP lanes, while Democrats are trying to turn Texas into a more competitive statewide battleground.

Latest Poll

Emerson College Polling / Nexstar Media · Jan 15

Talarico
44%
Cornyn
47%
5 polls total — view all ↓

Candidates

John Cornyn

John Cornyn

R Incumbent

John Cornyn is the senior U.S. senator from Texas and a Republican seeking another term in 2026. Before joining the Senate, he served as Texas attorney general and on the Texas Supreme Court, and he has been a prominent figure in Texas Republican politics for more than two decades.

Ken Paxton is the Republican attorney general of Texas and a candidate for U.S. Senate in 2026. His campaign presents him as a Trump-aligned conservative focused on border security, tax cuts, gun rights, and opposition to what it calls the Washington establishment.

James Talarico is a Democratic member of the Texas House of Representatives from District 50 and the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Texas in 2026. A former middle school teacher, he has built his campaign around affordability, public education, and a broadly progressive message aimed at expanding the Democratic coalition in Texas.

Polling

Emerson College Polling / Nexstar Media Jan 15, 2026
n=1,165
James Talarico
44%
John Cornyn
47%
James Talarico
46%
Ken Paxton
46%
John Cornyn
26%
Ken Paxton
27%
Source
Emerson College Polling / Nexstar Media Feb 27, 2026
n=547
Ken Paxton
40%
John Cornyn
36%
Source
Public Policy Polling Mar 10, 2026
James Talarico
49%
John Cornyn
48%
James Talarico
49%
Ken Paxton
47%
Source
Emerson College Polling / Nexstar Media Mar 1, 2026
n=1,397
James Talarico
52%
Jasmine Crockett
47%
Ken Paxton
40%
John Cornyn
36%
Source
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs Feb 9, 2026
n=1,100
Ken Paxton
38%
John Cornyn
31%
Wesley Hunt
17%
Jasmine Crockett
47%
James Talarico
39%
Source

Data Analysis Information

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated 4/29/2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

Models: GPT-5 MiniGPT-5 NanoClaude Haiku 4.5Gemini 3.1 Flash LiteGrok 4.1 Fast

© 2026 Smarter.vote. Analyzing public information to help voters make informed decisions.

Always verify information by visiting candidate websites directly. This tool provides analysis for informational purposes only.